Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000118 0.000125 0.000133 0.000142 0.000152 0.000163 0.000175
2024-12-22 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128 0.000142 0.000158 0.000178 0.000202
2024-12-29 0.000100 0.000113 0.000127 0.000145 0.000167 0.000195 0.000233
2025-01-05 0.000093 0.000106 0.000121 0.000141 0.000167 0.000201 0.000250
2025-01-12 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000136 0.000164 0.000202 0.000259
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000093 0.000110 0.000132 0.000162 0.000204 0.000269
2025-01-26 0.000075 0.000087 0.000103 0.000125 0.000156 0.000199 0.000269
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103 0.000126 0.000160 0.000209 0.000294
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103 0.000129 0.000166 0.000224 0.000328
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000103 0.000131 0.000173 0.000239 0.000365
2025-02-23 0.000071 0.000086 0.000107 0.000138 0.000186 0.000268 0.000437
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000104 0.000136 0.000186 0.000272 0.000459
2025-03-09 0.000066 0.000081 0.000102 0.000134 0.000186 0.000278 0.000490
2025-03-16 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000134 0.000190 0.000293 0.000546
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000079 0.000101 0.000136 0.000198 0.000316 0.000638
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000076 0.000098 0.000133 0.000196 0.000319 0.000671
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000072 0.000094 0.000128 0.000189 0.000312 0.000673
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000090 0.000124 0.000185 0.000309 0.000688
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000066 0.000086 0.000118 0.000177 0.000296 0.000662
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000066 0.000086 0.000119 0.000181 0.000312 0.000748
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000122 0.000188 0.000337 0.000889
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000065 0.000087 0.000124 0.000195 0.000362 0.001061
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000067 0.000089 0.000130 0.000212 0.000417 0.001488